Yostivanich

Short and sweet post tonight about the pres­i­den­tial elec­tion here in the US. Tonight the Iowa cau­cuses, the first in a multi-state sys­tem whereby each pri­mary party chooses their can­di­date for Pres­i­dent of the US, was com­pleted. As reported by the BBC, Huck­abee received the Repub­li­can nom­i­na­tion, with Obama tak­ing the Demo­c­ra­tic cau­cus. All right so I’m going to go out on a limb and give my pre­dic­tions for the election.

Huck­abee will be the Repub­li­can nom­i­nee, with Rom­ney being the VP can­di­date. They are the two with both tons of media expo­sure that keeps build­ing and their poli­cies are close enough that they can be com­pat­i­ble with each other. Also Rom­ney gains a reach to an area that typ­i­cally votes Demo­c­ra­tic, the Northeast.

On the Demo­c­ra­tic side, Obama being the Pres­i­den­tial nom­i­nee and Edwards being the VP can­di­date. This is an easy call, mainly because the field is pretty small, although there are good can­di­dates with not much expo­sure (look­ing at you Richard­son), the big three are all that mat­ter. Hillary will not and can not play sec­ond fid­dle to some­one, she doesn’t have the per­son­al­ity for it. Edwards also is a nat­ural fit with his talk of “Two Amer­i­cas” that fits in very closely with Obama’s call for a change in America.

Final elec­tion call: Demo­c­ra­tic Win. While there are def­i­nite pres­sures asso­ci­ated with Obama being a non-white male and shall we say sug­ges­tions from oppo­nents that he is either Mus­lim or related to Osama Bin Laden. Obama has made a call that is invig­o­rat­ing to a great many of the coun­try for a real change that many both polit­i­cal pun­dits and com­mon per­son on the street are call­ing real. Also Obama has been viewed as a Kennedy of this cur­rent gen­er­a­tion. These are pow­er­ful images that are hard to fight against, granted also with that Obama doesn’t have any hard posi­tions to try and defend such as both vot­ing for and against the War in Iraq. Also this elec­tion even more so than the last elec­tion could very eas­ily turn into an anti-Republican vote more than a pro-Democratic vote.

Note: I am not any sort of polit­i­cal expert, study­ing pol­i­tics is sim­ply a past time for myself. Also any polit­i­cal affil­i­a­tions that I hold are my own and do not in any way mean I con­sis­tently vote for any orga­ni­za­tion or even believe in the major­ity of beliefs expressed by that orga­ni­za­tion. I vote based on issues not along party/organization lines.