Yostivanich

Here’s how I see this bat­tle between Apple and Adobe. For Adobe, los­ing would be a large-scale aban­don­ment of Flash by web pro­duc­ers — sites that pre­vi­ously used Flash aban­don­ing it, and new sites never using it in the first place. For Apple, los­ing would be if the absence of Flash on iOS devices led to peo­ple choos­ing com­pet­ing devices that do sup­port Flash — i.e. if the absence of Flash for iOS hurt sales of iPhones, iPod Touches, and iPads.

via Dar­ing Fire­ball – How to Judge the Bat­tle Between Apple and Adobe Regard­ing Flash. My bet, Apple or rather open stan­dards (ie. HTML5 video and audio tech­nolo­gies) will win in the long run. Flash will slowly decline fur­ther and fur­ther as it become a less use­ful plat­form upon which to oper­ate under or with. HTML5 will be a long and slow pick up due to older browsers not sup­port­ing it specif­i­cally, Inter­net Explorer and those peo­ple and cor­po­ra­tions who are slow to update.

Video is pretty safe to say that Flash is going to be sec­ondary way to dis­play video not the pri­mary. All other uses of Flash if they haven’t been replaced are about to be replaced with alter­na­tives that aren’t as hard to build and over­all have bet­ter per­for­mance for all users includ­ing mobile users.